<!doctype html><html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" xmlns:v="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:vml" xmlns:o="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" lang="en-US" xml:lang="en-US"><head>
    <title data-ignore-plain-text>Brazil Office Newsletter - Brazilian Electoral Bulletin 2022 / N&ordm;15</title>
    <meta http-equiv="content-type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8">
    <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1, maximum-scale=1">
    <meta name="format-detection" content="address=no">
    <!--[if (gte mso 9)|(IE)]>
    <style type="text/css" media="screen">
      li {
        text-indent: -1em;
      }
    </style>
    <![endif]-->
    <style type="text/css" media="all">
      body,
.section-text-area,
.section-text-area-wrapper,
.section-text-cell {
    overflow-wrap: break-word;
    word-wrap: break-word;
    -ms-word-break: break-all;
    word-break: break-word;
}
body {
    width: 100% !important;
    min-width: 100% !important;
    -ms-text-size-adjust: none;
    -webkit-text-size-adjust: none;
    mso-line-height-rule: exactly;
}
p {
    margin-block: 0;
}
@media only screen and (max-width:  593px ) {
    table#newsletter-table {
        border: 0 !important;
    }
    table#newsletter-email {
        width: 100% !important;
    }
    img.section-scaleable-image,
    img.section-empty-img {
        max-width: 100% !important;
        height: auto !important;
    }
    .bg-none {
        background: none !important;
    }
    .hauto {
        height: auto !important;
    }
    .show-desktop-only {
        display: none !important;
    }
    .show-mobile-only {
        display: block !important;
        float: none !important;
        line-height: auto !important;
        max-height: inherit !important;
        max-width: inherit !important;
        margin-top: 0px !important;
        overflow: visible !important;
        visibility: inherit !important;
        width: auto !important;
    }
    .stack-cell-wrap {
        display: block !important;
    }
    .stack-cell-up {
        display: table-header-group !important;
    }
    .stack-cell-down {
        display: table-footer-group !important;
    }
    .mw100p {
        max-width: 100% !important;
    }
    .section-horizontal-padding,
    .padding-mobile-both {
        padding-left: 22px !important;
        padding-right: 22px !important;
    }
    .padding-mobile-left {
        padding-left: 22px !important;
    }
    .padding-mobile-right {
        padding-right: 22px !important;
    }
    .text-left {
        text-align: left !important;
    }
    .text-right {
        text-align: right !important;
    }
    .w100p {
        width: 100% !important;
    }
}
.button-style-solid:hover,
.button-style-rounded:hover {
    opacity: .8 !important;
}
a:hover {
    text-decoration: none !important;
}
span.mail-merge-preview {
    border-bottom: 2px dotted currentColor;
    display: inline-block;
    line-height: 1em !important;
    margin-bottom: .125em !important;
}
table#newsletter-section-body .linked-site-title-link {
    color: #aadc00 !important;
}
#header-header-section-stacked-bottom-0 .brand-name .linked-site-title-link {
    color: #000;
    text-decoration: none;
}
#footer-footer-section-split-left-0 .brand-name .linked-site-title-link {
    color: #000;
    text-decoration: none;
}
#footer-footer-section-split-left-0 .footer-text .linked-site-title-link {
    color: #aadc00;
}
#button-button-section-4 .button-style-outline:hover {
    background-color: #0a5064 !important;
    border: 1px solid #0a5064 !important;
}
#button-button-section-4 .button-style-outline:hover .button-section-label {
    color: #fff !important;
}
body.renderedPreview #line-line-section-5 div.basic-line[data-line="dashed"] {
    border-width: 4px 0 !important;
}
body.renderedPreview #line-line-section-7 div.basic-line[data-line="dashed"] {
    border-width: 4px 0 !important;
}

    </style>
    
    
    <!--[if mso]>
    <noscript>
      <xml>
        <o:OfficeDocumentSettings>
          <o:AllowPNG/>
          <o:PixelsPerInch>96</o:PixelsPerInch>
        </o:OfficeDocumentSettings>
      </xml>
    </noscript>
    <![endif]-->
    
    <!--[if (mso)|(mso 16)]>
      <style type="text/css">
        a {text-decoration: none;}
      </style>
    <![endif]-->
  </head>
  <body style="padding:0;margin:0;text-align:center;background-color:#e4e4e4;">
    <table role="article" aria-label="Brazil Office Newsletter - Brazilian Electoral Bulletin 2022 / N&ordm;15" lang="en-US" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" align="center" id="newsletter-table" style="font-size:16px;font-weight:normal;width:100%;padding:0px;background-color:#e4e4e4;border-top:44px solid #e4e4e4;border-bottom:44px solid #e4e4e4;margin:0 auto;text-align:center;table-layout:fixed;">
  <tbody><tr>
    <td align="center" valign="top" bgcolor="#E4E4E4" id="newsletter-cell" style="font-size:1em;">
      <div data-ignore-plain-text class="newsletter-preview-text" style="color:transparent;display:none !important;height:0;max-height:0;max-width:0;opacity:0;overflow:hidden;mso-hide:all;visibility:hidden;width:0;">
        
            $$PLAIN_TEXT_PREVIEW$$
        
      </div>
      <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="594" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" id="newsletter-email">
        <tbody><tr>
          <td align="center" valign="top" id="newsletter-email-wrapper" class="wide-sans">
            <table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" id="newsletter-section-header">
              <tbody><tr>
                <td align="center" valign="middle" id="newsletter-section-header-cell">
                  
<div id="header-header-section-stacked-bottom-0">





<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="section-content header-section header-section-stacked" style="background-color:transparent;">
  <tbody><tr>
    <td align="center" valign="middle" class="section-text-area section-content-cell" style="padding-top:7px;padding-right:22px;padding-bottom:6px;padding-left:23px;">
      
      
  
  
  
    
    <a class="brand-logo-link" href="https://www.braziloffice.org/" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><img class="brand-logo" src="https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61b7a607abe2b45e18150232/1643215386787-0CTAZP6VXH42L7CFPSSB/cbe%C3%A7alho-03.png?format=750w" height="110" alt="Washington Brazil Office" style="font-size:.8333333333333334em;display:block;border:0;text-decoration:none;line-height:0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;color:#000;height:auto;max-height:110px;max-width:100%;width:auto;"></a>
    
  

    </td>
  </tr>
</tbody></table>

</div>
                </td>
              </tr>
            </tbody></table>
            <table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" id="newsletter-section-body">
              <tbody><tr>
                <td align="center" valign="top" width="100%" id="newsletter-section-body-cell">
                  
<div id="image-image-section-below-0">
<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="image-section below-layout section-content">

  

  
    <tbody><tr>
      <td>
        <table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0">
          <tbody><tr>
              

            <td align="left" valign="middle" class="section-image-cell section-content-cell section-hoverable-image" data-aspect="ORIGINAL" style="padding:0;">
              
  <a href="https://www.braziloffice.org" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><img class="section-scaleable-image" src="https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61b7a607abe2b45e18150232/1643994296394-3T74BYGWKVRP942D1YJV/para+o+email+mkt_+COM+NEWSLETEER_Prancheta+1.jpg?format=750w" width="594" alt="" style="font-size:.8333333333333334em;display:block;border:0;text-decoration:none;line-height:0;background-color:transparent;font-weight:normal;height:auto;width:100%;max-width:100%;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"></a>


            </td>
              

          </tr>
        </tbody></table>
      </td>
    </tr>
    
  
  


</tbody></table>

</div>
<div id="image-image-section-below-1">
<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="image-section below-layout section-content">

  

  
    <tbody><tr>
      <td>
        <table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0">
          <tbody><tr>
              

            <td align="left" valign="middle" class="section-image-cell section-content-cell section-hoverable-image" data-aspect="ORIGINAL" style="padding:0;">
              
  <a href="https://www.braziloffice.org/en/observatory" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><img class="section-scaleable-image" src="https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61b7a607abe2b45e18150232/1643213995147-GQBGNUIDQOWFZ6G9T1BO/democrac+barra+logo_Prancheta+1+c%C3%B3pia.png?format=750w" width="594" alt="" style="font-size:.8333333333333334em;display:block;border:0;text-decoration:none;line-height:0;background-color:transparent;font-weight:normal;height:auto;width:100%;max-width:100%;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"></a>


            </td>
              

          </tr>
        </tbody></table>
      </td>
    </tr>
    
  
  


</tbody></table>

</div>
<div id="text-text-section-2">



<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="text-section section-content">
  <tbody><tr>
    <td valign="top" class="section-text-area section-content-cell padding-mobile-left" style="padding-top:0px;padding-right:26px;padding-bottom:0px;padding-left:42px;color:#313131;background-color:transparent;">
      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">May 20 2022 | <strong>Nº. 15</strong></p>
    </td>
  </tr>
</tbody></table>

</div>
<div id="text-text-section-3">



<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="text-section section-content">
  <tbody><tr>
    <td valign="top" class="section-text-area section-content-cell padding-mobile-both" style="padding-top:0px;padding-right:44px;padding-bottom:11px;padding-left:44px;color:#0a5064;background-color:transparent;">
      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"></p><h3 style="color:inherit;margin:1.414em 0 .5em;font-weight:400;line-height:1.25em;font-size:1.44em;mso-line-height-alt:1.44em;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;letter-spacing:0em;"><strong>Editorial</strong></h3><p style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;text-align:center;" class=""><strong>Nuptials, Coalition Efforts, and Threats to Democracy</strong></p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">This week, in a break from the fixed polarization that has mostly defined the run-up to the presidential campaign, former president Lula married fifty-five-year-old Rosângela Silva—widely referred to by her nickname Janja—with whom he has been publicly involved since 2019 when he was released from prison. An engineer by training, Janja has worked in various positions related to infrastructure and communications including at Itaipu Binacional and Eletrobras, and has been a member of the Workers’ Party (PT) since 1983. She first met Lula in the 1990s and became romantically involved with the former in president in 2018. Their marriage has intrinsically political implications. For one thing, Lula has consistently sought to reclaim the mantle of family values from the conservative right-wing. President Jair Bolsonaro successfully mobilized overwhelming evangelical support in 2018 by tarnishing progressives generally as opposed to traditional social norms and religion. Since re-entering the political fray, Lula has strongly pushed back against this narrative, noting that he has always been a devoted family man. As Lula’s spouse, Janja assumes an important political role. She will likely be active and publicly visible throughout the campaign and as First Lady should Lula win, which every recent poll indicates he will. What exactly her political profile will be, what issues she chooses to focus on in her own right, remain to be seen.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">The PT, meanwhile, is continuing its efforts to expand Lula’s electoral coalition. Emissaries from the party have reportedly made new appeals to the Democratic Labor Party (PDT) to give up the candidacy of Ciro Gomes, former governor of Ceará and minister in Lula’s administration. Ciro has adamantly denied that he will exit the race before the first round of voting, arguing that his presence in the race actually serves to weaken Bolsonaro by preventing a total polarization that might fuel the same kind of anti-PT sentiment that pushed many center and center-right voters to embrace Bolsonaro in 2018. Nevertheless, according to several outlets, PDT leaders have assured Lula that he will have their support in a run-off against Bolsonaro.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">In Minas Gerais, the PT came closer this week to establishing a formal alliance with Belo Horizonte mayor Alexandre Kalil of the Social Democratic Party (PSD), who is running for governor in the country’s second-largest state. High-ranking members of the PT believe that a partnership with Kalil, who has been a popular mayor but has been in second place in all polling for the governor’s race, significantly raises the chances that Lula could win the election in the first round of voting. Doing so is especially important because many analysts believe that avoiding a run-off with Bolsonaro is an imperative for the sake of Brazilian democracy. If there is a second round of voting and it is close, many widely expect that Bolsonaro will move to sabotage the election or refuse to recognize an unfavorable outcome. Knocking Bolsonaro out in the first round of voting is thus seen as the surest way of minimizing Bolsonaro’s anti-democratic maneuvering, although he is likely to try to stay in power no matter what.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">This week Bolsonaro has once again publicly raised doubts about his country’s ability to oversee a free and fair election, citing the potential for violence and chaos. Of course, most domestic and international observers expect such tumult to arrive from the president’s own supporters given his long history of undermining democratic institutions in word and deed. It is because of the climate of uncertainty Bolsonaro is deliberately cultivating the idea that the head of the Supreme Electoral Court (TSE), the main body tasked with overseeing elections in Brazil, wants to bring European Union observers to monitor the polls in October. The Ministry of Foreign (Itamaraty) previously rejected this idea, setting up what is likely to be a consistent point of tension between the executive branch and other governmental institutions from now until the election. Indeed, Minister Edson Fachin, the president of the Superior Electoral Court (TSE), stated on May 17 that the Court intends to bring more than 100 international observers to Brazil to monitor the 2022 elections. So far, representatives of the Organization of American States (OAS), the Mercosur Parliament (Parlasul), the International Foundation for Electoral Systems (IFES) and the Electoral Network of the Community of Portuguese-Speaking Countries (CPLP) have already confirmed their intention to serve as electoral observers.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">In the meantime, the polls have been remarkably consistent, showing Lula in the lead in the first round of voting as well as the second. There is widespread concern in Brazil and abroad that the unchanging nature of the race so far will push Bolsonaro to increasingly desperate measures to hold onto power. With that threat in mind, Brazilian civil society organizations are pushing foreign governments to pay attention to the presidential campaign in Brazil, urge Bolsonaro to respect the results, and to swiftly recognize Lula as president-elect should he win. There are steps being taken now, in other words, to assure a democratic outcome that Bolsonaro insists on calling into question.</p>
    </td>
  </tr>
</tbody></table>

</div>
<div id="button-button-section-4">



<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="button-section section-content" style="width:100%;background-color:transparent;">
  <tbody><tr>
    <td align="center" valign="middle" class="section-content-cell section-text-area" style="padding-top:10px;padding-right:22px;padding-bottom:16px;padding-left:22px;">
      
      <a href="https://www.braziloffice.org/en/observatory#activities" class="button-section-box button-style-rounded" style="color:#aadc00 !important;display:inline-block;line-height:11px;margin:0;mso-padding-alt:0;text-align:center;text-decoration:none;transition:.15s;width:auto;background-color:#0a5064;border:1px solid #0a5064;border-radius:5.5px;padding:16px 0;"><i class="button-section-mso" style="letter-spacing:29.92px;mso-font-width:-100%;mso-text-raise:26.950000000000003px;">&nbsp;</i><span class="button-section-label" style="font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;margin:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;color:#fff;display:inline-block;font-size:11px;min-width:1px;mso-text-raise:15.95px;"><strong>SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTER</strong></span><i class="button-section-mso" style="letter-spacing:29.92px;mso-font-width:-100%;mso-text-raise:26.950000000000003px;">&nbsp;</i></a>
    </td>
  </tr>
</tbody></table>

</div>
<div id="line-line-section-5">

<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="line-section section-content">
  <tbody><tr>
    <td align="center" valign="middle" width="100%">
      <table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" class="line-section-table section-content" style="width:81%;min-width:81%;">
        <tbody><tr>
          <td align="center" valign="middle" class="section-content-cell" width="100%" style="padding-top:10px;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:13px;padding-left:0;">
            <div class="basic-line" data-line="solid" style="background:none;font-size:0;margin:0;line-height:0;height:0;width:100%;border-style:solid none;border-width:4px 0 4px;border-color:#aadc00;">&nbsp;</div>
          </td>
        </tr>
      </tbody></table>
    </td>
  </tr>
</tbody></table>

</div>
<div id="text-text-section-6">



<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="text-section section-content">
  <tbody><tr>
    <td valign="top" class="section-text-area section-content-cell padding-mobile-both" style="padding-top:8px;padding-right:44px;padding-bottom:30px;padding-left:44px;color:#0a5064;background-color:transparent;">
      <h3 style="color:inherit;margin:1.414em 0 .5em;font-weight:400;line-height:1.25em;font-size:1.44em;mso-line-height-alt:1.44em;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;letter-spacing:0em;"><strong>Highlights</strong></h3><ul data-rte-list="default" style="padding-left:25px;"><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><strong>TRANSPARENCY OF THE ELECTORAL PROCESS: </strong>The Superior Electoral Court (TSE) announced that in the 2022 elections it will be possible to carry out a parallel process of tallying the votes through Ballot Box Bulletins that will be posted on the internet in real time.&nbsp; This is a measure to increase the transparency of the electoral process. In previous years, these results were released three days after the election.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"></p></li><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><strong>TELEGRAM AND FAKE NEWS:</strong> The Superior Electoral Court (TSE) and Telegram formalized a mutual collaboration agreement to combat disinformation in which the platform will have, among other initiatives, an official court channel to disseminate official information about the elections and combat fake news.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"></p></li><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><strong>SIMONE TEBET: </strong>The presidents of the Party of Brazilian Social Democracy (PSDB), the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) and the Citizenship party nominated Senator Simone Tebet (MDB) from the state of Mato Grosso do Sul as their presidential candidate of the center-right so-called Third Way. The decision still needs to be approved by the national executive committees of the three parties, which should meet on May 24. If their proposal is confirmed, João Doria, the former governor of São Paulo, and the pre-candidate for the PSDB, will be out of the running. Polls carried out by the parties indicate that Doria’s rejection rate is very high, and Tebet would have greater potential for electoral growth. Doria's name was approved in PSDB primary elections in November last year, but has faced resistance since then. If denied a place at the head of the PSDB ticket, Doria threatens to challenge an ouster in court.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"></p></li><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><strong>RISK TO ELECTIONS:</strong> Jair Bolsonaro said in a speech that the Armed Forces' suggestions regarding the electoral process "will not be thrown in the trash", and commented that as a result there would be a "shadow of suspicion" about the elections. In addition, Bolsonaro, who has attacked the reliability of the electronic voting machines without presenting evidence about any problem with the system, once again criticize the judiciary, saying that he spends "more than half of his time" defending himself against what he called "undue interference" by the Supreme Court in his government.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"></p></li><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><strong>A FAMILY AGAINST DEMOCRACY:</strong> Rio de Janeiro Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (Liberal Party), the president's son, launched an attack against the Electoral Justice system. Without giving any figures, he said that, according to “internal research,” the president will be reelected in the first round and that, if there is suspicion about the outcome of the elections, the reaction “will not be judicial.” He added: “I think that if the Superior Electoral Court doesn’t have the sense of responsibility [to carry out] concrete measures to give the voter peace of mind, it is indeed possible that there will be political instability in the country.”</p></li></ul>
    </td>
  </tr>
</tbody></table>

</div>
<div id="line-line-section-7">

<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="line-section section-content">
  <tbody><tr>
    <td align="center" valign="middle" width="100%">
      <table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" class="line-section-table section-content" style="width:81%;min-width:81%;">
        <tbody><tr>
          <td align="center" valign="middle" class="section-content-cell" width="100%" style="padding-top:3px;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:21px;padding-left:0;">
            <div class="basic-line" data-line="solid" style="background:none;font-size:0;margin:0;line-height:0;height:0;width:100%;border-style:solid none;border-width:4px 0 4px;border-color:#aadc00;">&nbsp;</div>
          </td>
        </tr>
      </tbody></table>
    </td>
  </tr>
</tbody></table>

</div>
<div id="text-text-section-8">



<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="text-section section-content">
  <tbody><tr>
    <td valign="top" class="section-text-area section-content-cell padding-mobile-both" style="padding-top:0px;padding-right:55px;padding-bottom:0px;padding-left:47px;color:#0a5064;background-color:transparent;">
      <h3 style="color:inherit;margin:1.414em 0 .5em;font-weight:400;line-height:1.25em;font-size:1.44em;mso-line-height-alt:1.44em;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;letter-spacing:0em;"><a href="https://www.braziloffice.org/en/articles/trump-and-bolsonaro-twins-expressions-of-the-rise-of-neo-fascism-52022" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;">Feature Article</a></h3><p style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;text-align:center;" class=""><strong>Trump and Bolsonaro: Twins Expressions of the Rise of Neo-Fascism</strong></p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">By Rafael R. Ioris&nbsp;</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">The surprising rise to power of Donald Trump, in the USA, in 2016, and of Jair Bolsonaro, in Brazil, in 2018, represented not only structural problems in the political systems of both countries, but also a broader crisis in the functioning of the logic of Liberal Democracy itself. Tragically, instead of providing effective ways of political representation, the demagogues of today accelerate the ongoing structural crisis itself. Indeed, as renewed iterations of authoritarians of the past, Trump and Bolsonaro deepen the delegitimization of mediated political representation. But instead of providing a more inclusive democracy, they fragment the very the social fabric of their nations by cultivating the image of a savior who will carry the chosen ones to the promise land while the <em>different</em> (minorities of all types) need to be excluded, when not eliminated altogether.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">This new type of media-based salvation indeed depends on xenophobia and divisiveness as central instruments. Trump exacerbated the image of the threatening immigrant, while Bolsonaro reactivated, in a narrow but still effective way, the image of the communist threat. But though effectively promoted on digital networks, this rhetorical device would not have been enough to bring them power were not the case of many voters who felt strongly frustrated with the existing political structures, as well as with multiple types of economic, demographic, and cultural changes unfolding in their societies in recent years.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">It is also true that Liberalism has historically been more concerned with the question of legal and formal equality than with the achievement of equality in the real conditions of existence. But even so, the liberal notion of an intrinsic human dignity, though not very effective in delivering effective equality, was fundamental to support the very agenda of equality over the last 250 years. And it is precisely the centrality of the notion of formal equality, with its inherent emancipatory potential, albeit historically limited, that has become the target of the global extreme right on the rise in recent years. As we know, leaders such as Viktor Orbán in Hungary, Narendra Modi in India, Rodrigo Duterte in the Philippines, Recep Erdogan in Turkey, Vladimir Putin in Russia, Donald Trump in the USA and Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil have all sought to erode constitutional guarantees from minority groups, destroy the investigative and judicial independence of autonomous organs of the State apparatus, delegitimize opposition voices, suppress freedom of the press, and repress opposing voices who end up being treated as enemies of an alleged homogenous nation under threat.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">As epiphenomena of deeper forces, these experiences tend to occur during national economic crises linked to broader productive restructuring processes and an associated weakening of existing established party systems. Likewise, they tend to present a moralistic discourse that attacks the formal political process, although they participate in it even if often to, once elected, destroy the system from within. There is also a recurrent use of a binary logic opposing the good vs. the bad citizen. And so, as the case of Bolsonaro clearly demonstrates, the appeal of salvation is not linked necessarily to the provision of concrete improvements in life but rather to the constant vilification of the constructed enemy.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">Interestingly, more than in the center of capitalism, where economic policies tend to assume a protectionist tone, efforts are being made in peripheral countries, such as Brazil, India, Colombia, etc., to revive the neoliberal agenda of the 1990s, this time around through more authoritarian means. As such, the Neofascism of today emerges as the central instrument in promoting the agenda of big capital in contexts of economic difficulties and a crisis of existing political structures. Its agenda is no longer limited to the structural economic adjustment of the first neoliberal wave but seeks to dismantle central principles of the democratic logic, such as formal equality and access to the formal deliberative process. Therefore, we increasingly see a movement to reverse fundamental achievements of historically marginalized groups through the deterioration of basic public services, elimination of economic matrix rights (labor and social security), and environmental legislation. Minorities of all kinds are being persecuted in all countries where such leaders have come to power, and universal suffrage itself has been redefined not as a civilizing achievement necessary for the functioning of democracy, but as a privilege of some who would be usurping the will of a supposedly oppressed majority.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">This has been very much the case in the US over the past few years, although the process goes further afield. Let us remember that the neoconservative movement (Neo-Con), which emerged in the late 1960s, was instrumental in bringing Nixon and Reagan to power through a culturalist discourse that articulated the notion of a majority threatened by ongoing social changes. Competently, Neo-Cons set the tone for the Republican Party to articulate an economic vision with a neoliberal matrix, but which, nevertheless, found strong support among the white, poor, religious, and conservative electorate. The election of Barack Obama in 2008 further exacerbated resentment towards the formal political system, especially among the Republican Party base, which proved very receptive to the appeals of the full-fledged outsider, Donald Trump, in 2016.&nbsp;</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">Let us remember that, with an overtly xenophobic and racist rhetoric, in his first campaign speech, Trump demonized the image of the immigrant who would come to the country, especially from the southern border, not only to allegedly take the jobs of white Americans, but also to steal their properties and rape their women. In so doing, Trump managed to activate the frustration of at least two generations of poor and conservative white segments to mobilize them to finally go to the polls to defend their America. For that, an innovative communication strategy anchored in digital media was used. An America that would be reborn from the ashes of the industrial decay of the last decades and the shame of the defeat of military interventions was promised.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">But of course, it would be an America Great Again only for a few. In Latin America, in Brazil in particular, the neoliberal authoritarian (Neo-fascist) wave gained momentum in the reaction to the reformist governments of the so-called Pink Tide. Interestingly though, even if critical of the global economic order, these center-left administrations could not (often, did not even try) to escape the dependence of their economies on the export of primary products in high demand in the international market at the beginning of the century, but which from 2010-2012, suffered a sharp drop in prices. In effect, the economic effects of the U.S. real estate market crisis and, in an associated way, the crisis of global liquidity and demand, was experienced in a forceful way across the region in the second decade of the 21st century.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">Particularly relevant, workers, the central political base of the Pink Tide governments, were the first to feel the drop in domestic production for export. This frustration and the search for alternatives was not restricted to the sectors though, and often, with the critical work of the oligopolistic and conservative local media, the so-called middle classes were also decisively involved in expressing their discontent. Even groups that had gained a lot from economic growth during the early 20th century bonanza, such as agribusiness elites, quickly became voracious critics of the governments of the time. Such groups even started to lead a veritable crusade for the end of social programs, which thus assumed the metonymic role of representing everything that was going wrong in a context of historically low growth rates. As a result, the region began to experience a series of political crises, where the liberal representative logic itself would be increasingly questioned.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">Interestingly, the first right-wing governments (<em>e.g</em>. Mauricio Macri in Argentina) came to power based on the rearticulation of regional conservative forces, attacked the programs implemented by previous administrations, and reestablished the foundations of the neoliberal logic of the 1990s. But this phase was not efficient enough to implement the economic agenda of regional oligarchies linked to increasingly oligopolized global capital. &nbsp;And so, Bolsonaro, in Brazil, but also Nayib Bukele, in El Salvador, and Ivan Duque, in Colombia, deepened the attacks on the logic of representation in liberal molds, guarantor of the existence and manifestation of the opposition and of control over central power bodies in order to promote, in the most authoritarian and effective way, the reforms that big capital was looking for in a global context of deepening economic, geopolitical, and military disputes, each day more fierce and violent.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">And even if some of these characters no longer occupy the presidential chair (e.g Trump) and others may be on the way out (e.g. Bolsonaro), the fact is that they are clear expressions of the obsolescence of institutional politics, as well as of the appeal to authoritarian solutions that have been presented in recent years. In this sense, even if out of power but especially when still in control of a country’s government, the Neo-Fascist alternative will likely remain a central factor in defining the directions of democracy, and politics more broadly, in the world in the foreseeable future. Understanding it and resisting it are therefore central tasks for all of those interested in maintaining and improving democratic governance in the upcoming years.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"></p>
    </td>
  </tr>
</tbody></table>

</div>
<div id="text-text-section-9">



<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="text-section section-content">
  <tbody><tr>
    <td valign="top" class="section-text-area section-content-cell padding-mobile-both" style="padding-top:29px;padding-right:44px;padding-bottom:11px;padding-left:44px;color:#0a5064;background-color:transparent;">
      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><strong>Rafael R. Ioris </strong>is Associate Professor of Latin American History at the University of Denver and a WBO Research Fellow. He holds a PhD in Latin American History from Emory University and is the author of <em>Transforming Brazil: A History of National Development in the Cold War Era </em>(Routledge, 2014)&nbsp;among many publications.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><strong>Feature articles express the opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the editors or WBO.</strong></p>
    </td>
  </tr>
</tbody></table>

</div>
                </td>
              </tr>
            </tbody></table>
            
              <table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" id="newsletter-section-footer">
                <tbody><tr>
                  <td align="center" valign="top" id="newsletter-section-footer-cell">
                    
<div id="footer-footer-section-split-left-0">



<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="#0A5064" class="footer-section footer-section-split section-content" style="background-color:#0a5064;">
  <tbody><tr>
    <td align="left" valign="top" class="section-text-area section-content-cell padding-mobile-both padding-mobile-left" style="padding-top:24px;padding-right:40px;padding-bottom:0px;padding-left:41px;">
      <table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="#0A5064" class="footer-section footer-section-split section-content" style="background-color:#0a5064;">
        <tbody><tr>
          <th align="left" valign="top" class="stack-cell-wrap w100p text-right section-text-area" style="width:50%;">
            
  
  
    
      <a class="brand-logo-link" href="https://www.braziloffice.org/" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><img class="brand-logo" src="https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61a4cb1f0e9c1028ed61aeea/3657fb0e-4181-46bc-9d5d-29ee25e1cff3/WBO_RGB_H_NEGATIVE_P.png" height="39" alt="Washington Brazil Office" style="font-size:.8333333333333334em;border:0;text-decoration:none;line-height:0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;margin-bottom:13.75px;color:#fff;display:inline;height:auto;max-height:39px;max-width:100%;width:auto;"></a>
    
  
  

          </th>
          <th align="right" valign="top" class="stack-cell-wrap w100p section-text-area" style="width:50%;">
            
            <table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0">
              <tbody><tr>
                <td align="right">
                  
  <table role="presentation" class="social-links" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0">
    <tbody><tr>
    
      <td valign="top" width="30" height="52">
        <a href="https://twitter.com/Brazil_Office" style="color:#aadc00 !important;text-decoration:none;">
          <img class="social-link-icon" src="https://static3.squarespace.com/static/newsletters/assets/891fd7c035a1dd14b9aa864c31a1b62db0007426/images/email/social-icons/twitter.png" width="30" height="30" alt="twitter" style="font-size:.8333333333333334em;text-decoration:none;line-height:0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;display:block;border:0;">
        </a>
      </td>
    
    </tr>
  </tbody></table>


                  
  <p class="footer-text" style="line-height:1.618em;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;color:#fff;font-size:11px;margin:0 0 13.75px 0;padding:0;"><a href="https://www.braziloffice.org" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;">Subscribe</a></p>

                  
  
  <p class="footer-company-info" style="line-height:1.618em;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;color:#fff;font-size:11px;margin:0 0 13.75px 0;padding:0;"><a style="color:#fff;text-decoration:none;font-size:inherit;font-family:inherit;font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;cursor:default;">
    
    
      1611 Connecticut Ave., NW Suite 400 <br>
    
    
      Washington, DC 20009<br>
    
    
      United States
    
  </a></p>
  

                  
<p class="footer-links" style="line-height:1.618em;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;color:#fff;font-size:11px;margin:0 0 13.75px 0;padding:0;">
  Powered by <a href="https://www.squarespace.com?channel=product_refer&amp;subchannel=customer&amp;source=email_campaigns_button&amp;campaign=61b7a607abe2b45e18150232&amp;utm_medium=product_refer&amp;utm_source=email_campaigns_button" class="sqsp-link" style="color:#fff;text-decoration:underline;display:inline-block;">Squarespace</a>
</p>


                  <p class="footer-links" style="line-height:1.618em;font-weight:normal;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;color:#fff;font-size:11px;margin:0 0 13.75px 0;padding:0;">
  <a href="#" class="unsubscribe-link" style="text-decoration:underline;color:#fff;">
    <span class="unsubscribe-link-text" style="font-size:inherit;font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;margin:0;">Unsubscribe</span>
  </a>
</p>

                </td>
              </tr>
            </tbody></table>
          </th>
        </tr>
      </tbody></table>
    </td>
  </tr>
</tbody></table>

</div>
                  </td>
                </tr>
              </tbody></table>
            
          </td>
        </tr>
      </tbody></table>
    </td>
  </tr>
</tbody></table>

  

</body></html>