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            jpcharleaux@braziloffice.org   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏
        
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      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">Dce 19 2025| <strong>Nº. 187</strong></p>
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      <h3 style="color:inherit;margin:1.414em 0 .5em;font-weight:400;line-height:1.25em;font-size:1.44em;mso-line-height-alt:1.44em;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;letter-spacing:0em;"><strong>Editorial</strong></h3><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">Brazil’s Congress this week passed a controversial bill that would significantly reduce the prison sentence of former president Jair Bolsonaro, convicted of leading a coup attempt and currently serving a 27-plus year term, as well as others found guilty of participating in the January 8, 2023, insurrection in Brasília. The measure, backed by right-wing lawmakers and passed in both the Chamber and Senate, would compress the sentencing regime, potentially cutting Bolsonaro’s term to around three years in a less restrictive setting, sparking protests and fierce debate. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has said he will veto the bill outright, arguing that undermining accountability for attacks on Brazil’s democracy is unacceptable. For the president, the bill crosses a red line by reopening the door to impunity for attacks on Brazil’s constitutional system, setting up a likely confrontation with lawmakers over whether Congress can muster the votes to override his veto next year.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">That institutional clash is unfolding as early signals for the 2026 election continue to show a deeply divided electorate. New polling released this week indicates that Lula’s approval and disapproval ratings remain essentially stable, with just under half of voters approving of his government and slightly more disapproving. Polls also indicate that Lula outperforms all potential rivals in the first round as well as in head-to-head matchups. Senator Flávio Bolsonaro’s entrance into the race has further divided an already fractured opposition, with the former president’s approval now granted to his son rather than São Paulo governor Tarcísio de Freitas. Despite Lula’s advantage, polling suggests that the country is likely headed for another highly competitive election.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">Meanwhile, Brazilian officials reacted cautiously but critically to escalating U.S. pressure on Venezuela, amid widespread warnings that a military strike or further coercive action could destabilize the region. Brasília has remained notably silent on President Donald Trump’s escalating hostility toward Caracas. When asked, Lula has emphasized diplomacy and regional stability, wary of spillover effects from any confrontation. At the same time, relations with Washington showed further signs of repair after the United States quietly lifted Magnitsky sanctions on Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes, a move seen in Brazil as an acknowledgment of the country’s judicial legitimacy and a step toward resetting bilateral ties after months of unprecedented tensions. Together, these events highlighted a government navigating simultaneous domestic polarization and delicate geopolitical crosscurrents, with little margin for miscalculation at home or abroad.</p>
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      <h3 style="color:inherit;margin:1.414em 0 .5em;font-weight:400;line-height:1.25em;font-size:1.44em;mso-line-height-alt:1.44em;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;letter-spacing:0em;"><strong>Highlights<br></strong></h3><ul data-rte-list="default" style="padding-left:25px;"><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><strong>Revocation.</strong> The Chamber of Deputies revoked the mandate of federal deputy Eduardo Bolsonaro this Thursday. He had been absent from plenary sessions since moving to the US in March, from where he began to orchestrate hostile measures by the US government against Brazil. In addition to him, the Chamber also revoked the mandate of Alexandre Ramagem, who fled to the US after being sentenced to 16 years in prison for his involvement in the failed coup attempt in 2023. This is another harsh defeat for Eduardo, who, in the same week, saw Trump lift the sanctions he had imposed on Judge Alexandre de Moraes under the Magnistsky Act.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"></p></li><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><strong>Letter to Trump.</strong> A group of 50 Democratic members of the U.S. Congress delivered a letter this week to US President Donald Trump, condemning "the multiple and unprecedented attempts to undermine democracy in Brazil" through the imposition of tariffs on Brazilian products imported by Americans. The group of congressional representatives considers that Trump made illegal use of the so-called IEPA – the name given to the law that authorizes the president to take exceptional tariff measures – to try to free Bolsonaro from prison. When consulted, the Washington Brazil Office (WBO) expressed support for the initiatived, as a way to dissuade the US president from the unfair pressure exerted on Brazilian institutions and democracy.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"></p></li><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><strong>Temporal Framework.</strong> The Brazilian Supreme Court this week gathered the necessary number of votes from its justices to declare unconstitutional the law known as the Temporal Framework. This law aimed to restrict the demarcation of indigenous lands only to territories that had already been claimed as such by 1988, the date of promulgation of the current Brazilian Constitution. In parallel, the Senate continues to advance its attempt to include a provision on the subject in the Constitution, which is expected to provoke yet another of many clashes between Congress and the Supreme Court in Brazil.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"></p></li><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><strong>Street protests.</strong> Thousands of people took to the streets of several Brazilian capitals last Sunday to protest against the so-called "Dosimetry Law," which, in practice, could drastically reduce the prison sentences of those involved in the failed coup d'état of January 8, 2023. Nearly 20,000 people gathered in Copacabana, Rio de Janeiro, and another 15,000 on Paulista Avenue in São Paulo. The movement also protested against the Congress and a series of recent measures taken by its members that have been undermining the actions of the Judiciary to protect democracy against the harassment of the far right.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"></p></li><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><strong>European Union-Mercosur.</strong> President Lula stated this Wednesday , December 17 that he does not intend to prolong the discussion on a trade agreement between the European Union and Mercosur if the current text is not approved before the end of this year. While Nordic countries, in addition to Germany and Spain, are working towards the agreement, farmers in Italy, Belgium, and France are holding opposing demonstrations. The European Union is Mercosur's second-largest trading partner, after China and ahead of the United States. If approved, the pact foresees the elimination of tariffs and mutual opening of markets that serve 720 million people.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"></p></li><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><strong>Exports.</strong> Brazil has become the world's largest exporter of beef. Four years ago, U.S. production was 31% higher than Brazilian production, but in 2025, 12.3 million tons of Brazilian beef products were sold worldwide. The projection for 2026 is that the two countries will have similar production. The reduction in U.S. output is associated with drought and wildfires that affected pastures and increased production costs for ranchers.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"></p></li><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><strong>Violence.</strong> The Sou da Paz Institute released a study this week showing that in ten years, the Federal Government spent approximately half a billion reais on hospitalizations for the treatment of people injured by firearms in the country. In 77.3% of cases, the injuries were intentionally inflicted. In 2024 alone, more than 15,000 people were hospitalized in Brazil due to injuries caused by firearms.</p></li></ul>
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      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><strong>News from ABO and social organizations and movements:</strong></p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><strong>Donations.</strong> This week, the Washington Brazil Office (WBO) launched its traditional year-end donation campaign. The campaign is directed to donors who have tax status in the USA, where these contributions are deductible. In the message, the organization reminds that 2026 will be a presidential election year in Brazil, an important event in the fight for democracy. Learn more by clicking on the <a href="https://www.braziloffice.org/campaigns/view-campaign/zRlO0VhtrB5jBd3FSNBWoAKZV3JbQDKxpny-Pj2nRibxitG03N7OCh9pCeNOcMCNos7Lp2Lmq-RqZPMyFdhrDIbXhFZ8tMUX" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><span style="font-size:inherit;font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;margin:0;text-decoration:underline;">link</span></a>.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><strong>Solidarity.</strong> Ação da Cidadania relaunched this year the Natal Sem Fome (Christmas Without Hunger) campaign to raise funds for the purchase of food. This is the largest food collection campaign in Latin America. It was created in 1993 and, since then, has helped more than 30 million people throughout the country. Click on the <a href="https://paybox.doare.org/paybox?payboxId=96bcf3e0-32af-4b85-9fbf-5d19d78c2a2f&amp;utm_source=A-Ref-www-acaodacidadania-org-br&amp;_gl=1*yen8kb*_gcl_au*MTIwNjE1MzMwNS4xNzY2MDY3NTk3*_ga*NzI4NDAzMTguMTc2NjA2NzU5Nw..*_ga_YS2PCC8V6Y*czE3NjYwNjc1OTckbzEkZzAkdDE3NjYwNjc2MjgkajI5JGwwJGgw" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><span style="font-size:inherit;font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;margin:0;text-decoration:underline;">link</span></a> to contribute.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><strong>Forgiveness to the coup plotters.</strong> The Pact for Democracy, which brings together more than 200 Brazilian civil society organizations, delivered a public statement this week to the Federal Senate against the approval of the so-called "Dosimetry Law," which, in practice, could represent an amnesty for those involved in the failed coup d'état of 2023, including former President Jair Bolsonaro. Contrary to what the proponents of the law claim, "it does not promote 'national pacification' nor does it offer a 'turning of the page.' Rather, it represents a capitulation of Congress to those who attacked the constitutional order on January 8, 2023," says the text, which can be read in its entirety <a href="https://www.pactopelademocracia.org.br/blog/pl-da-anistia-carta-do-pacto-pela-democracia-ao-senado-federal" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><span style="font-size:inherit;font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;margin:0;text-decoration:underline;">here</span></a>.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><strong>Caatinga.</strong> The Bank of the Northeast will allocate R$ 150 million to environmental restoration projects in rural areas – 50% more than the amount allocated in 2025 and 4.5 times higher than the 2024 budget. This progress is the result of a process built over time: in 2024, the Escolhas Institute presented the Bank of the Northeast with a message about the importance of strengthening funding for environmental restoration, highlighting that native vegetation is one of the most promising strategies to address climate change and contain the advance of desertification in the Caatinga. Now, the result has arrived. <a href="https://www.instagram.com/p/DSVkfT2EnIm/?utm_source=ig_web_copy_link&amp;igsh=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><span style="font-size:inherit;font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;margin:0;text-decoration:underline;">Learn more</span></a>.</p>
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      <h3 style="color:inherit;margin:1.414em 0 .5em;font-weight:400;line-height:1.25em;font-size:1.44em;mso-line-height-alt:1.44em;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;letter-spacing:0em;">Feature Article</h3><p style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;text-align:center;" class=""></p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;text-align:center;" class=""><strong>The Brazilian Congress and the Selective “Bukele-ization” of Public Security</strong></p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><br><em>By <strong>Samira Bueno</strong>*</em></p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">Fear of crime and violence has made public security the main concern of the Brazilian population, according to recent research. This fear is not unfounded. A country that has historically lived with high rates of homicide and domestic violence has, in the last decade, begun to face a new phenomenon: the national spread of criminal organizations associated with drug trafficking, whose origins are based in São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro. Added to this is an epidemic of cell phone thefts, online scams, and increasingly organized and violent property crimes.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">This expansion of organized crime has profoundly transformed the dynamics of Brazilian cities. What were once local groups and disorganized gangs have given way to organizations that have become professionalized in the world of crime and have begun to operate in partnership with Comando Vermelho and PCC, two of the largest criminal organizations—or have been directly co-opted by them. Organized crime has ceased to be a localized problem and now has a national structure with direct impacts on daily life. In the Amazon, cities crisscrossed by rivers and forests are strategic for the flow of drugs towards Europe. In urban areas, community leaders have their voices silenced by the violent imposition of organized crime. In the Northeast, there are constant reports of families who financed their homes through the government-sponsored Minha Casa Minha Vida (My house, my life) program and were subsequently expelled by armed drug traffickers. Territorial control has ceased to be the exception and has become the rule in many poor and working-class neighborhoods of the country.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">It is in this context that the Congress has placed public security at the center of its agenda for 2025. It is a crucial issue. The problem is how it has been addressed. Instead of structural responses based on evidence and governance, a significant part of Congress—especially sectors of the center and the far right—has instrumentalized the population's fear to produce an agenda of increased criminal penalties that is efficient in mobilizing indignation and votes, but ineffective in reducing violence.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">Two projects illustrate this movement well: the so-called Anti-Gang Bill and the substitute for the Public Security constitutional cmendment, both originating in the federal government but profoundly altered in Congress.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">The Anti-Gang Bill, in its original version, is part of a correct diagnosis: confronting gangs requires financial intelligence, sophisticated investigation, cooperation between agencies, and modernization of investigative tools. However, during its rapid passage through the Chamber of Deputies, the project was distorted. There was a weakening of the Federal Police, an excessive expansion of criminal penalties, and persistence of the reliance on prisons, diverting the focus from what truly weakens organized crime. The Senate managed, in part, to correct these excesses, but the project returns to the Chamber at risk of further setbacks.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">Something similar is happening with the Public Security constitutional amendment. The government's original proposal sought to constitutionalize the Unified Public Security System (SUSP) to strengthen federal governance and coordination between the federal government, states, and municipalities. However, the substitute bill approved in the Chamber of Deputies converted this systemic logic into an architecture centered on task forces, special operations, and constitutionally sanctioned penal support.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">The text proposes the including in the constitution the Differentiated Disciplinary Regime (RDD), a broad restriction on reducing criminal penalties, the creation of specialized incarceration for members of gangs, and even the possibility of reducing the age of criminal responsibility through a plebiscite. All of this is presented as a response to organized crime, but it somewhat aligns with what, in practice, could weaken gangs sin the medium and long term.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">By transforming specific measures into constitutional mandates, Congress risks paralyzing criminal policy, reducing the capacity for future correction, and deepening a logic of prolonged incarceration that, historically, fuels the very gangs it intends to combat. It is no coincidence that the PCC and Comando Vermelho emerged within prisons. Nor is it irrelevant that their main leaders have been imprisoned for decades—without this preventing their territorial and economic expansion.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">The paradox becomes even more evident when one observes that, amidst this discourse about punishment, the Chamber of Deputies approved, in the dead of night, the so-called Sentencing Bill, which reduces the time required for sentence progression in certain crimes. The initiative was designed to benefit those convicted for the coup attempts of January 8, 2023—including former president Jair Bolsonaro, now imprisoned—but its effects also extend to common crimes.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">Brazil is thus experiencing a blatant contradiction. On one hand, congressmen inspired by Salvadoran President&nbsp; Nayib Bukele’s model of public security advocate for longer incarcerations, with fewer rights and at increasingly younger ages, for those who have always been the main clients of the criminal justice system: young, poor, and marginalized Black people. On the other hand, these same parliamentarians are mobilizing to reduce sentences and facilitate the release from prison of coup plotters linked to the political elites.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">The “Bukele-ization” of public security in Brazil is selective. It serves to harden the penal system against the usual suspects, while weakening the law to protect political allies. The saga will continue in 2026 – an election and World Cup year – but one thing is already clear: for influential segments of the Congress, incarcerating more and for longer periods is great – as long as it is Black, poor, and marginalized people who fill the prison pavilions.</p>
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      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><em>*<strong>Samira Bueno</strong> is the executive director of the Brazilian Forum on Public Security and coordinator of the professional master's program in management and public policy at IDP.</em></p>
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