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      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">Fev 17 2023 | <strong>Nº. 54</strong></p>
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<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="text-section section-content">
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      <h3 style="color:inherit;margin:1.414em 0 .5em;font-weight:400;line-height:1.25em;font-size:1.44em;mso-line-height-alt:1.44em;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;letter-spacing:0em;"><strong>Editorial</strong></h3><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">Following his meeting with President Joe Biden on Friday, February 10, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva focused this week on highlighting early domestic policy initiatives. Visiting the northeastern state of Bahia on Tuesday, February 14, he officially relaunched the housing program <em>Minha Casa, Minha Vida </em>(My House, My Life; MCMV), which had been rebranded and modified under Bolsonaro. One of the key socioeconomic programs of Lula’s second term, MCMV was the largest housing initiative ever undertaken by the Brazilian government. The idea is simple: the federal government transfers money from the Ministry of Cities to state-owned banks to be used by construction companies in building housing units that are then granted to needy families with access to affordable loans. Previous results were impressive. Just under a decade after the program’s creation in 2009, official numbers showed that 4.7 million people—about seven percent of the population—had acquired a home through the program. Consumer spending boomed as people purchased home furnishings and appliances with abundant subsidized credit. This is the virtuous economic cycle Lula hopes to reactivate.&nbsp;</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">Indeed, Lula’s hope to restore the purchasing power of working-class Brazilians is at the heart of his highly publicized spat last week with Roberto Campos Neto, the head of the Central Bank appointed by Jair Bolsonaro in 2019 to a four-year term. Lula insists that interest rates in Brazil—among the highest in the world—are too high to allow for a new period of economic growth driven by consumer spending. Some left-wing allies in Congress have suggested this is the result of deliberate sabotage by a central bank head inappropriately aligned with Bolsonaro’s political agenda. Social movements like the Landless Workers Movement (MST) and the Homeless Workers Movement (MTST) have said they will take to the streets to pressure Campos Neto to resign. Nevertheless, this week, both Lula and Campos Neto have taken steps to turn down the temperature. Finance Minister Fernando Haddad, a moderate force within the Workers’ Party, has the difficult task of mediating among a Lula who has embraced what some see as a surprisingly left-wing tone after campaigning as the head of a broad front, investors and business interests, and the central bank. Haddad’s priority is an overhaul of Brazil’s complicated tax code, a massive challenge in its own right. For a once—and possible future—presidential candidate, the stakes for Haddad in all this are quite high.&nbsp;</p>
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      <h3 style="color:inherit;margin:1.414em 0 .5em;font-weight:400;line-height:1.25em;font-size:1.44em;mso-line-height-alt:1.44em;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;letter-spacing:0em;"><strong>Highlights</strong></h3><ul data-rte-list="default" style="padding-left:25px;"><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><strong>INTERNATIONAL AGENDA.</strong> Lula has a trip scheduled for <a href="https://oglobo.globo.com/economia/noticia/2023/02/viagem-de-lula-a-pequim-deve-reforcar-investimentos-e-acordos-comerciais.ghtml" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><span style="font-size:inherit;font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;margin:0;text-decoration:underline;">China</span></a> in March and should go to São Tomé and Príncipe in July to participate in the summit of the Community of Portuguese Language Countries (<a href="https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/colunas/painel/2023/02/lula-deve-ir-a-cupula-da-lingua-portuguesa-na-africa-em-julho.shtml" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><span style="font-size:inherit;font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;margin:0;text-decoration:underline;">CPLP</span></a>) with the possibility of stopovers in Angola and South Africa. The trips are part of an intense international agenda that began with visits to Argentina and Uruguay and then the United States.&nbsp; The Brazilian president has said he intends to put the country back on the international stage after four years of isolationism by the government of Jair Bolsonaro.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"></p></li><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><strong>BACK TO BRAZIL.</strong> In an exclusive interview with <em>The Wall Street Journal</em>, Bolsonaro said he plans to <a href="https://g1.globo.com/politica/noticia/2023/02/14/a-jornal-dos-eua-bolsonaro-diz-que-deve-voltar-ao-brasil-em-marco-mas-pondera-risco-de-prisao.ghtml" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><span style="font-size:inherit;font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;margin:0;text-decoration:underline;">return</span></a> to Brazil in March. He has been in Florida since December 2022 after he was defeated by Lula in the October election. The former president arrived in the United States with a diplomatic visa, but has since asked to change it to a tourist visa. In the interview, the leader of the Brazilian extreme right warned that he intends to regain leadership of this political sector in Brazil. In a rare <em>mea culpa</em>, Bolsonaro further stated that he regretted having said so much about the COVID-19 pandemic. Finally, the former president was concerned about the risk of being arrested in Brazil as a result of one of the many lawsuits against him.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"></p></li><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><strong>PUNISHMENT OF COUP PLOTTERS.</strong> More than 650 people involved in the attempted coup d'état on January 8 were <a href="https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/poder/2023/02/stf-e-pgr-procuram-solucoes-para-julgamento-de-centenas-de-acoes-contra-golpistas.shtml" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><span style="font-size:inherit;font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;margin:0;text-decoration:underline;">charged</span></a> by the Attorney General's office. Of this total, 602 people were identified as inciting illegal acts. Another 49 are charged with committing unlawful acts. One person, who is a government employee, was accused of being involved in illicit activities.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"></p></li><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><strong>DIFFICULT TRIALS.</strong> More than a month after the events of January 8, the Brazilian judiciary is studying ways to deal with an unusual volume of lawsuits, which have challenged the logistical capacity of the courts. Another problem is the situation of military personnel from the armed forces, accused of an act or of an omission in the episode. Theoretically, these cases are the responsibility of the <a href="https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/poder/2023/02/julgamento-de-militares-acusados-de-golpismo-tem-incerteza-e-pode-opor-moraes-e-governo-lula.shtml" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><span style="font-size:inherit;font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;margin:0;text-decoration:underline;">Military</span></a> Justice, but Alexandre de Moraes, a member of the Supreme Court is trying to keep them under his jurisdiction in the regular judicial system. General Tomás Paiva, the new army commander, says that those soldiers involved in illegal activities will be held <a href="https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/colunas/painel/2023/02/comandante-do-exercito-diz-que-militares-envolvidos-no-8-de-janeiro-serao-punidos.shtml" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><span style="font-size:inherit;font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;margin:0;text-decoration:underline;">accountable</span></a> for their actions but without fanfare.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"></p></li><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><strong>MINIMUM WAGE.</strong> Lula announced on Thursday, February 16 that the <a href="https://oglobo.globo.com/economia/noticia/2023/02/lula-confirma-aumento-da-faixa-de-isencao-do-ir-e-reajuste-do-salario-minimo.ghtml" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><span style="font-size:inherit;font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;margin:0;text-decoration:underline;">minimum</span></a> wage will be R$1,320 as of May, instead of the current R$1,302. The new value corresponds to almost US$ 252 in today’s exchange rate. In addition, the government will increase the income tax exemption range: currently those who earn up to R$ 1,900 do not pay income tax. As of May, this amount will increase and whoever earns up to R$ 2,640 will be exempt from payment – an amount that corresponds to just over US$ 503.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"></p></li><li style="font-weight:normal;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:15px;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><strong>ACADEMIC SCHOLARSHIPS.</strong> After ten years of stagnation in the amount paid for academic scholarships for master's and doctoral research, the Lula government announced a 40 percent <a href="https://g1.globo.com/educacao/noticia/2023/02/16/governo-divulga-reajuste-em-bolsas-de-pesquisa-nesta-quinta-valor-deve-subir-40percent-em-media.ghtml" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;"><span style="font-size:inherit;font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;margin:0;text-decoration:underline;">readjustment</span></a>. Post-doctoral grants will have a lower readjustment of 25 percent. The highest increase of 100% was given to high school students who are involved in research projects. Professors and administrators praised the measure, which was considered important, although still insufficient to support students in need of financial aid.</p></li></ul>
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      <h3 style="color:inherit;margin:1.414em 0 .5em;font-weight:400;line-height:1.25em;font-size:1.44em;mso-line-height-alt:1.44em;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;letter-spacing:0em;">Feature Article</h3><p style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;margin-top:1rem;margin-bottom:0px;" class=""><strong>Lula and Biden: Common Challenges and Potential Shared Efforts to Come</strong></p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">Biden and Lula, the presidents of the largest democracies of the hemisphere met in Washington, D.C. on February 10 to plan future collaborations on a variety of issues. One of the main inspirations of the meeting was the attack on Brazil’s seats of power on January 8, which echoed events that took place in DC on January 6, 2021. It was then that Biden invited Lula to come to D.C., although Biden’s interest in working closely with Lula was already demonstrated in his quick recognition of Lula’s electoral victory on October 30, 2022, immediately after the results were announced. This move was key in deflating immediate putschist moves from Bolsonaro’s forces, though unfortunately this wasn’t enough to prevent last month’s violence in Brasilia. </p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;margin-top:1rem;margin-bottom:1rem;" class="">Given the impromptu nature of the visit, as usually these gatherings are much longer in the making, speculations abounded about what the meeting could achieve. At the very onset of this deeply symbolic meeting of the two presidents that came to power after neofascists leaders ruined much of the image of their respective countries on the global stage, both Lula and Biden were ready to set a positive tone for both bilateral relations, as well as for joining forces for cooperatives multilateral initiatives. Lula started by saying that his predecessor had isolated Brazil, a nation that seeks now to reposition itself in the world and that believes that strengthening relations with the US is central in that process. Lula thanked Biden for his role in helping defend democracy in Brazil, which was reciprocated by Biden’s statement that both countries’ democracies had been attacked but have survived, and that, hence, they face very similar experiences and challenges. </p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;margin-top:1rem;margin-bottom:0px;" class="">Once the positive tone of the meeting was set, the two leaders got down to specifics. They had a long agenda involving at least initial conversations on matters of human and labor rights, gender and racial equality, areas in which they promised to joint efforts. Similarly, and not surprising, they pledged to work together to strengthen democratic institutions that included continuing conversations with other countries at the upcoming Summit for Democracy, which will be held next month. Moreover, on the climate front, Lula’s stated Brazil’s commitment to work with the global community to protect the Amazonian ecosystems and invited the US to help support the Amazon Fund. In response, Biden pledged that he would work with the US Congress to find these funds. Pledges to work together were also made in the areas of hunger and poverty, as well as in trade and economic cooperation. </p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;">There was much expectation about whether the two presidents would be on the same page on the difficult topic of Ukraine, given that Lula had already stated, during a visit by German Chancellor Olaf Scholz to Brasilia, that Brazil would not commit to providing weapons to support Ukraine’s war efforts. Although Lula did not change his views, both countries agreed to denounce the illegality of Russian’s actions against the territorial integrity of Ukraine, and Lula restated his willingness to lead a multilateral peace-making effort. In the end, Lula invited Biden to visit Brazil, an invitation that he readily accepted, especially in the context of the upcoming bicentennial celebrations of US-Brazil diplomatic relations in 2024.</p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;margin-top:1rem;margin-bottom:1rem;" class="">All in all, this was not a meeting aimed at formalizing or announcing major new initiatives. Instead, its main relevance was in setting the path of new, more mature and globally oriented relations between the continent’s largest nations. Especially on the throes of the debacle of Bolsonaro’s attempted redirection of Brazil’s foreign policy largely towards becoming a junior partner of Trump, the balanced tone of the conversation is certainly significant. Biden came to power seeking to reestablish normalcy, after the tumultuous Trump Years. That goes for domestic as well as for foreign policies. Now that Bolsonaro is gone, Biden saw this important meeting as a great opportunity to deal with Brazil (but also Latin America) in more normal terms. This included discussing regular trade issues, immigration, as well as, especially in the case of Lula, the defense of democratic institutions in the hemisphere and beyond. So, although the meaning is a bilateral one, in some ways, it could be considered as a hemispheric meeting as Biden and Lula had the opportunity to discuss and, one hopes, address matters that are relevant to most countries in the continent.&nbsp;</p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;margin-top:1rem;margin-bottom:1rem;" class="">Conversely, Lula saw the meeting as central for his goal of both sustaining constructive relations with the United States, as well as strengthening South American common projects. It would clearly be helpful to Brazil’s foreign policy, if the United States did not oppose its central goals. This approach worked well early in 2000s, when Lula was president and he managed to have good relations with the United States (even under Bush) and developed several common initiatives in South America. Now that Brazil, and much of South America, must deal with greater competition between the United States and China over the region, Lula is seeking to recreate good, but certainly not subordinate, relations with the Biden administration.&nbsp;</p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;margin-top:1rem;margin-bottom:0px;" class="">Lula was already seen in his first term in power as a global leader. Now, after the trauma of the Bolsonaro era, Lula's return is reassuring to much of the world that democracy can be rebuilt in Brazil and the Amazon can be protected. Lula's electoral victory offered Biden the opportunity to invite him to come to Washington to discuss issues that are important not only to Brazil and the United States, but also that really matter to the world as whole.&nbsp;In this sense, this was a successful meeting that set the stage for further collaboration, one hopes, between countries that share more than what meets the eye and that have lots to gain from working together.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"></p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"><strong>Rafael R. Ioris</strong><em> </em>is a professor of Latin American History and Politics at the University of Denver and a Non-Resident <a href="https://www.braziloffice.org/en/team#fellows" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;">Research Fellow</a> at the WBO. This text was originally written for issue 54 of the <a href="https://www.braziloffice.org/newsletter" rel="nofollow" style="color:#aadc00 !important;">WBO Newsletter</a>, published on February 17, 2023. </p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Grande', 'DejaVu Sans', 'Bitstream Vera Sans', Verdana, sans-serif;"></p>
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